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TheValueTrader.
Full-Time Technical Analyst  ·  Full-Time Investor
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Ford Motor Company  ·  NYSE
Q1 2026 Earnings Dashboard  ·  April 29, 2026
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Q1 2026 Earnings — Reported April 29, 2026 · After Market Close · EPS Beat +247% · Guidance Raised
Revenue +6% to $43.3B · Adj. EBIT $3.5B (+243%) · IEEPA Tariff Benefit $1.3B · Guidance Raised
Ford delivered a blowout Q1 2026 — adjusted EPS of $0.66 crushed the $0.19 consensus by 247%, and adjusted EBIT tripled to $3.5B from $1.0B a year ago. Results include a $1.3B one-time IEEPA tariff benefit after the U.S. Supreme Court ruled Trump's tariffs on certain goods were illegal. Ford Pro software subscriptions grew 30% YoY to 879,000. Revenue rose 6% to $43.3B despite 4% lower wholesale volumes — confirming mix and pricing power. Full-year adjusted EBIT guidance raised to $8.5–10.5B. Ford Model e remains a significant drag at −$777M EBIT. Adjusted FCF was negative $1.9B.
Key Metrics — Q1 2026 Actuals (Official 8-K SEC Filing)
Total Revenue
$43.3B
+6% YoY
Adj. EBIT
$3.49B
+243% YoY · 8.1% margin
Net Income
$2.55B
vs $471M Q1 2025
Adj. EPS (diluted)
$0.66
vs $0.14 Q1 2025 · beat +247%
Adj. EBIT Margin
8.1%
vs 2.5% Q1 2025 (+560bps)
Total Liquidity
$43.1B
$22.0B cash · strong
Adj. EPS Beat
+247%
$0.66 actual vs $0.19 LSEG consensus
IEEPA Tariff Benefit (one-time)
$1.3B
Supreme Court ruling · March 2025–Feb 2026
Ford Pro Software Subscriptions
879,000
+30% YoY · recurring high-margin revenue
FY2026 Adj. EBIT Guidance
$8.5–10.5B
Raised from $8.0–10.0B
Beat / Miss Matrix
Beats
Adj. EPSEst. $0.19$0.66 (+247%)
Automotive RevenueEst. $38.82B$39.82B (+2.6%)
Adj. EBITQ1 2025: $1.02B$3.49B (+243%)
Adj. EBIT MarginQ1 2025: 2.5%8.1% (+560bps)
Ford Pro EBIT$1.7B on $14.7B revenue
FY2026 GuidancePrior $8.0–10.0BRaised to $8.5–10.5B
Concerns
IEEPA benefit quality$1.3B one-time · not recurring
Adj. FCF−$1.9B use of cash
Wholesale Volumes−4% YoY
Ford Model e EBIT−$777M · EV losses persist
Operating Cash Flow$1.3B · down YoY
BlueOval SK JV chargesUpcoming special-item charges
P&L Summary — Q1 2026 vs Q1 2025 (Official 8-K SEC Filing)
Select Financial Results — Three Months Ended March 31, 2026
Total Revenue$43,285M$40,654M+6.5%
Automotive Revenue$39,820M$38,820M+2.6%
Ford Credit Revenue$3,465MFinancing services
Wholesale Volume Change−4% YoYLower units
Adj. EBIT$3,488M$1,017M+243%
Adj. EBIT Margin8.1%2.5%+560bps
IEEPA Tariff Benefit (one-time)$1,300MNon-recurring
Ford Blue EBIT$1,900MStrong mix + pricing
Ford Pro EBIT$1,700MCommercial strength
Ford Model e EBIT−$777M−$849MSlightly improved
Net Income (GAAP)$2,548M$471M+441%
GAAP Diluted EPS$0.63$0.12+425%
Adj. Diluted EPS$0.66$0.14+371%
Operating Cash Flow$1,300MBelow prior year
Adj. Free Cash Flow−$1,900MUse of cash
Cash & Equivalents$22,000MPost-debt repayment
Segment Detail & CEO Quote
Ford Blue & Ford Pro
Ford Blue Revenue$23.9B · EBIT $1.9B
Ford Blue driversF-Series · Bronco · Explorer (double-digit)
Ford Pro Revenue$14.7B · EBIT $1.7B
Ford Pro Software Subscriptions879,000 (+30% YoY)
Mix / net pricingStrong · offsetting volume decline
Regulatory compliance costsLower YoY · margin benefit
Adj. ROIC (trailing 4 qtrs)12.6% vs 10.9% Q1 2025
Ford Model e & Capital
Model e EBIT−$777M (vs −$849M Q1 2025)
Model e improvement$72M better YoY
EV program rationalizationUpcoming special-item charges
BlueOval SK JVDisposition charges pending
Quarterly dividend$0.15/share (Q2 · Jun 1)
Credit facility renewed$18B corporate facilities
Total liquidity$43.1B
"Ford delivered a strong first quarter that demonstrates the power of our Ford+ strategy — high-quality vehicles with the right mix, growing software services, and disciplined capital allocation. Ford Pro continues to prove that commercial vehicle customers value connected, intelligent services, with paid software subscriptions growing 30%. We are raising our full-year adjusted EBIT guidance to reflect our confidence in the business trajectory. The IEEPA tariff recovery provides a meaningful near-term tailwind, but the underlying business performance — driven by F-Series, Bronco, and Ford Pro — is the real story."
Jim Farley, President & CEO  ·  Q1 2026 Earnings Call, April 29, 2026
FY2026 Guidance — Raised April 29, 2026
Full-Year 2026 Financial Targets — Raised Post Q1
FY2026 Adj. EBIT (New)
$8.5–10.5B
Raised +$500M
FY2026 Adj. EBIT (Prior)
$8.0–10.0B
Old guide
Ford Pro Software Subscriptions
879K+
+30% YoY
Model e EBIT improvement
−$777M Q1
Improving slowly
Q2 Dividend
$0.15/share ✓
Jun 1, 2026
IEEPA Tariff Benefit
One-time only
Not recurring
BlueOval SK JV Disposition
Charges pending
Special item
Positives & Concerns
Positives
Revenue grew 6% to $43.3B despite a 4% decline in wholesale volumes — demonstrating that Ford's mix shift toward high-margin F-Series, Bronco, and Ford Pro commercial vehicles is generating more revenue and profit per unit sold. Adjusted EBIT tripled to $3.49B with an 8.1% margin versus 2.5% a year ago.
Ford Pro software subscriptions reached 879,000 (+30% YoY) — the high-margin, recurring software services layer that CEO Farley has identified as the long-term profit engine. As the installed base of connected commercial vehicles grows, Pro software will become an increasingly significant source of predictable, high-margin revenue that doesn't depend on vehicle volume cycles.
Full-year adjusted EBIT guidance raised to $8.5–10.5B from $8.0–10.0B — a $500M guidance raise in the first quarter of the year demonstrates management's growing confidence in the business trajectory beyond the one-time IEEPA benefit. The raise implies H2 2026 business momentum is expected to be strong.
F-Series truck franchise, Bronco, and the Explorer with double-digit growth all confirmed strength in Ford's highest-margin ICE vehicles. Lower regulatory compliance costs year-over-year also provided meaningful EBIT tailwind. Adj. ROIC improved to 12.6% (trailing 4 quarters) from 10.9% — approaching the cost of capital for an automaker.
Total liquidity of $43.1B with $22.0B in cash provides exceptional financial flexibility — Ford renewed its $18B corporate credit facilities in April 2026. This fortress balance sheet allows continued investment in Ford Pro software expansion and EV rationalization without capital market dependency.
Concerns
The $1.3B IEEPA tariff benefit is explicitly one-time — it reflects amounts Ford paid between March 2025 and February 2026 that were refunded after the U.S. Supreme Court ruled Trump's IEEPA tariffs on certain goods were illegal. Without this benefit, Q1 adjusted EBIT would have been approximately $2.19B — still solid, but the headline $3.49B overstates normalized earnings power.
Adjusted free cash flow was negative $1.9B in Q1 — reflecting higher capital spending and working-capital swings. Ford's transformation investments (EV rationalization, software infrastructure, manufacturing upgrades) require sustained capital outflow before the returns materialize, creating near-term FCF pressure.
Ford Model e recorded −$777M EBIT in Q1 — the EV segment continues to generate significant losses, though the $72M year-over-year improvement is a positive signal. Ford faces the challenge of all legacy automakers: absorbing large EV investment losses while maintaining profitability in the ICE segments that fund those losses.
BlueOval SK joint venture disposition charges are pending as future special items — reducing the quality of earnings visibility for H2 2026. Special-item charges from EV program rationalization add additional uncertainty to the FY2026 GAAP earnings picture even as adjusted metrics improve.
Wholesale vehicle volumes declined 4% YoY — structural volume pressure from EV transition uncertainty, rising competition in commercial vehicles, and ongoing supply chain management creates a top-line headwind that mix and pricing can offset in the near term but not indefinitely. Ford's long-term revenue growth depends on volume recovery alongside pricing power.
Analyst Coverage — Post Q1 2026
Wall Street & Market Reaction — Post April 29, 2026
Firm / MetricRatingNote
Initial AH reaction+6% AHInitial surge on EPS beat and guidance raise
Next-day close−1.3%Investors focused on one-time IEEPA benefit, negative FCF
InvestingProAbove Fair Value$12.38 · market cap ~$49B · caution on normalized earnings
EPS quality noteMixed$1.3B of $3.49B adj. EBIT is one-time · normalized EBIT ~$2.19B
Ford Pro software thesisBullish879K paid subscriptions +30% = durable high-margin revenue flywheel
FY2026 guidance context$8.5–10.5B adj. EBITRaised · implies H2 operational strength beyond IEEPA
Earnings Verdict
IEEPA Windfall Masks a Genuinely Improving Business — Pro Software the Real Story
Ford's Q1 2026 headline numbers — $0.66 EPS (+247% beat), $3.49B adj. EBIT (+243%), net income +441% — are dramatically inflated by the $1.3B one-time IEEPA tariff refund from the Supreme Court ruling. Stripping this out, the underlying Q1 adj. EBIT of approximately $2.19B and an 8.1% margin (versus 2.5% a year ago) represents a genuinely meaningful improvement driven by F-Series/Bronco/Explorer mix strength, Ford Pro commercial momentum, and lower regulatory compliance costs. The guidance raise to $8.5–10.5B — which extends beyond the one-time IEEPA benefit — is the most credible forward signal. Ford Pro software subscriptions at 879,000 (+30% YoY) are the long-term valuation anchor: as Ford's commercial fleet becomes a connected software platform, the margin profile of the business transforms toward recurring high-margin revenue. The concerns are legitimate: negative $1.9B adj. FCF, −$777M Model e EBIT, pending BlueOval SK charges, and 4% volume decline remind investors that Ford's transformation is capital-intensive and multi-year. At ~$12 and a $49B market cap, the question is whether the Pro software flywheel justifies a higher multiple than a traditional automaker. Next earnings July 2026.
Revenue
$43.3B +6%
Adj. EPS
$0.66 +247%
Adj. EBIT
$3.49B
Pro Subs
879K +30%
FY Guide
$8.5–10.5B
Next Earnings
Jul 2026